Tuesday, February 21, 2012

How to Scan Opportunities for Bull Put Spread

ThinkorSwim is a second to none trading platform. It took me so long to get a hand on it. I had a chance to learn more about how to scan Bull Put Spread on that platform on this site: http://growithyou.hubpages.com.

About the first option, the ThinkorSwim Trading Platform provides you with two powerful tools in the Scan tab of its desktop software: the Stock Hacker and the Spread Hacker. You can use these two sections to literally scan thousands of stocks or options spreads in a few seconds.

To find a Bull Put Spread in ThinkorSwim, choose a Public List (e.g. SP500) and set the Spread Hacker as follows:

On the top, click on the menu Search and select “Vertical”.

1. First Criteria – Days to expiration

You are interested in trading options that are about to expire within 30 days or less in order to benefit from the effect of time decay. Type in the min field 15 and in the max field 30.

2. Second Criteria - Front Vol

You are interested in selling a options (with expiration date at roughly 30 days) with high volatility. You should set the front vol at min 30%, because you are selling and you want to receive a huge credit.

For any position detected from the computer, remember to check that the option purchased must have lower volatility than the one sold.

Then you can set some optional criteria to make your search suits your trading plan.

3. Third Criteria - Underlying Price

You may feel more comfortable either trading stocks with high or low price levels. For instance, if you prefer high priced underlying, type in the min field 40 and in the max field 100.

4. Fourth Criteria - PL/Margin

According to the cash available in your account and your money management, you may prefer placing a trade whose margin is within a certain amount. For instance, if the maximum margin you can afford for trade is $2000, type in the max field 2000.

Happy Trading!


Monday, February 20, 2012

Analyze Stock Charts for Bull Put Spread

In order to take advantage of this strategy, you are not going to try to predict where the market or a stock will go to in a short time frame, usually within thirty days or sixty day maximum, but where the market likyly WILL NOT GO TO in that allotted time frame. With this approach, you will have more than one way to win. When you sell options, your only concern is for the market to not go past the OTM options strike that you are short. That is paramount important in this Bull Put Spread strategy. When you sell an OTM options, or OTM option spread, you can win in three different market scenarios as opposed to the buyer only having one winning scenario.

A Bull Put Spread is definitely a bullish strategy. As a result, when you look at a stock chart, you must definitely take into consideration the trend of the underlying security. To place a successful trade, you want the stock either moves up or doesn’t move at all. For this reason, it is vitally important to place this trade in correspondence of a strong point of support. What I recommend is to scan stocks and pick the ones which are being traded close to a point of support previously detected. Then, try to place your Bull Put Spread by selling the OTM strike that is roughly at the same level of that support point or a few point lower as a safer bet and buying a further OTM strike.

Before placing a trade, make sure that there is no significant macro or micro market-moving news or earnings release until the expiration of your options.

Here is an example that I will use Bull Put Spread to earn some income on Google (NASDAQ:GOOG).

... (to be continued)



Monday, November 28, 2011

Dennis Gartman's Trading Rules List, by Olivier, June 28, 2009

Trading rules from great traders are always worth reading. If you spend some time to understand the concept behind each trading rule this will improve your trading skills and take you to the next level. Also check this video where Dennis Gartman talks about the concept of keeping it simple.

1. Never, under any circumstance add to a losing position…. ever! Nothing more need be said; to do otherwise will eventually and absolutely lead to ruin!

2. Trade like a mercenary guerrilla. We must fight on the winning side and be willing to change sides readily when one side has gained the upper hand.

3. Capital comes in two varieties: Mental and that which is in your pocket or account. Of the two types of capital, the mental is the more important and expensive of the two. Holding to losing positions costs measurable sums of actual capital, but it costs immeasurable sums of mental capital.

4. The objective is not to buy low and sell high, but to buy high and to sell higher. We can never know what price is “low.” Nor can we know what price is “high.” Always remember that sugar once fell from $1.25/lb to 2 cent/lb and seemed “cheap” many times along the way.

5. In bull markets we can only be long or neutral, and in bear markets we can only be short or neutral. That may seem self-evident; it is not, and it is a lesson learned too late by far too many.

6. “Markets can remain illogical longer than you or I can remain solvent,” according to our good friend, Dr. A. Gary Shilling. Illogic often reigns and markets are enormously inefficient despite what the academics believe.

7. Sell markets that show the greatest weakness, and buy those that show the greatest strength. Metaphorically, when bearish, throw your rocks into the wettest paper sack, for they break most readily. In bull markets, we need to ride upon the strongest winds… they shall carry us higher than shall lesser ones.

8. Try to trade the first day of a gap, for gaps usually indicate violent new action. We have come to respect “gaps” in our nearly thirty years of watching markets; when they happen (especially in stocks) they are usually very important.

9. Trading runs in cycles: some good; most bad. Trade large and aggressively when trading well; trade small and modestly when trading poorly. In “good times,” even errors are profitable; in “bad times” even the most well researched trades go awry. This is the nature of trading; accept it.

10. To trade successfully, think like a fundamentalist; trade like a technician. It is imperative that we understand the fundamentals driving a trade, but also that we understand the market’s technicals. When we do, then, and only then, can we or should we, trade.

11. Respect “outside reversals” after extended bull or bear runs. Reversal days on the charts signal the final exhaustion of the bullish or bearish forces that drove the market previously. Respect them, and respect even more “weekly” and “monthly,” reversals.

12. Keep your technical systems simple. Complicated systems breed confusion; simplicity breeds elegance.

13. Respect and embrace the very normal 50-62% retracements that take prices back to major trends. If a trade is missed, wait patiently for the market to retrace. Far more often than not, retracements happen… just as we are about to give up hope that they shall not.

14. An understanding of mass psychology is often more important than an understanding of economics. Markets are driven by human beings making human errors and also making super-human insights.

15. Establish initial positions on strength in bull markets and on weakness in bear markets. The first “addition” should also be added on strength as the market shows the trend to be working. Henceforth, subsequent additions are to be added on retracements.

16. Bear markets are more violent than are bull markets and so also are their retracements.

17. Be patient with winning trades; be enormously impatient with losing trades. Remember it is quite possible to make large sums trading/investing if we are “right” only 30% of the time, as long as our losses are small and our profits are large.

18. The market is the sum total of the wisdom … and the ignorance…of all of those who deal in it; and we dare not argue with the market’s wisdom. If we learn nothing more than this we’ve learned much indeed.

19. Do more of that which is working and less of that which is not: If a market is strong, buy more; if a market is weak, sell more. New highs are to be bought; new lows sold.

20. The hard trade is the right trade: If it is easy to sell, don’t; and if it is easy to buy, don’t. Do the trade that is hard to do and that which the crowd finds objectionable. Peter Steidlmayer taught us this twenty five years ago and it holds truer now than then.

21. There is never one cockroach! This is the “winning” new rule submitted by our friend, Tom Powell.

22. All rules are meant to be broken: The trick is knowing when… and how infrequently this rule may be invoked!

Sunday, March 30, 2008

Market Turbulence

I have been experiencing lots of interesting and breathtaking ups and downs in the market for the last couple of months, especially in the financial industries. The breakdown of Bear Sterns was a weak-up call for the US Federal and authorities in the bank industry. The interesting thing is that government and Fed always stand behind and support this industry to the best they can. Just right after the Bear got exhausted, the Feb held meetings, even in the weekend, and announced another rate cut, and pumped more liquidity to the financial market. The reason is obviously the important role of the financial institutions in this giant economy. However, the Fed's action was a little too late for the Bear to recover by itself. The Bear story also told what big investors could do to protect their investment. Those big investors gathered together and speculated to pull the share price of Bear Sterns up, leading JP Morgan had to increase the bid from a little over $2 to over $10 per share. Interesting.

I have never seen such a sensitive market like this. It tends to over-react to any piece of news from any entities, including companies, government, of course, and even from nowhere. There are lots of rumors about Lehman Bros, Citibank and Goldman Sachs... Every rumor and news leads charts to tumble and rally like yo yo. That's why I think it is the time for investor to take a break from trading, just sit back and observe. Still, there are a few industries doing really well, such as industrial commodities, agriculture commodities, new energy... However, I believe industrial commodities like gold, oil and gas, etc. tend to turn a corner and hit the wall any time. Agriculture and new energy still have a long future ahead to shine. It is better to be on the safe side tho; if you want to play with these industry, I would recommend to buy deep- in- the- money call option with long expiration date, or sell out- of- the money naked put if you would like to earn some extra cash up front and wait to own these shares when they go down to your comfort level. Some blue-chip that I am still in love with are RIMM and AAPL. They were hit by the market turbulence, but not that bad. Wow, there are still lots of opportunities in the jungle out there. Be safe, though.